In this program, we present a second analysis of Colonel Jacques Baud’s analysis of the military situation in the Ukraine war.
Key Points of Discussion and Analysis: Colonel Baud recaps his analysis presented in his first article—that the move on Kiev was a diversion and the main “Schwerpunkt” of the Russian offensive is encircling the bulk of the Ukrainian forces concentrated on the border of the Donbass; Baud’s contention that the West fundamentally misinterpreted Russia’s operation because its analysts saw Russian intent as being what the West would have done—trying to capture the capital in order to effect “regime change;” Western political and media pundits are seeing things as they want them to be and not how they are; The West’s divorce from accurate intelligence provided by intelligence services; The West’s reliance on fundamentally unreliable Ukrainian battlefield “intelligence;” The West’s subversion of the possibility of a negotiated settlement by sending Ukraine weapons in the hope/belief that Ukraine has a chance of winning; Baud supports the view expressed in previous programs that Russia is NOT indiscriminately bombing civilian populations; Baud points out that Russia emphasizes action involving ground troops and does not engage in the kind of massive aerial bombardment that produced massive civilian casualties in Western military campaigns; Baud points out that Russian military action is primarily in the ethnic Russian areas of Ukraine in which the civilian population is not hostile to their forces; Conversely, the Ukrainian “ultra-nationalist” forces are deployed in cities where the civilian population has no connection with the combatants, maximizing civilian losses; Discussion of the Russian officers leading from the rear—leading to higher casualties and fundamental misunderstanding of this by Western commentators; Discussion of foreign “volunteers” fighting for Ukraine and the possibility of Western weaponry falling into the hands of future terrorists-to-be; Baud’s belief that U.S. and German intelligence knew of the Ukrainian intent to attack the Donbass, deliberately pushing Ukraine into the war; “Ukraine was thus instrumentalized to affect Russia;” Baud reiterates his contention that the West and France’s Macron, in particular, completely undermined diplomacy and upholding the Minsk agreements; A disturbing truth concerning Putin’s placing of Russia’s nuclear forces on high alert; “ . . . . it followed the thinly veiled threat made by Jean-Yves Le Drian, three days earlier, that NATO could use nuclear weapons . . .”; The increasing vulnerability of the West to manipulation by “false-flag operations;” The fact that Russia destroyed its stockpile of biological weapons and the West has not; “ . . . . But in the current atmosphere, all the conditions are now met for an incident to happen that would push the West to become more involved, in some form, in the Ukrainian conflict (a “false-flag” incident). . . .”
The program concludes with presentation of an interview with Jacques Baud, which will be read in full in our next program.
